Have you met your SEC
East champion this year? It’s important that you get to know them.
They are, after all,
the poor souls who have to play whatever juggernaut from the West comes rolling
through Atlanta on its way to the College Football Playoff.
At least, that’s what
we were all thinking back in October, when the top ten looked like this:
Back then, I honestly believed that the SEC championship should feature two West teams. If
not, then Georgia was the only logical choice to sit atop the SEC East throne.
They seemed like the
only East team who could realistically hope to compete with the clear dominance
of the SEC West. At the very least, they hadn’t lost to Indiana at home.
But it isn’t Georgia
making the short trip to its state’s capital.
Welcome back,
Missouri. You left some unfinished business in the Georgia Dome last season.
Arguably the SEC’s
biggest surprise, the Missouri Tigers have seemingly come out of nowhere to win
the East division of the nation’s best conference.
That technically
makes them the second-best team in the conference, right? And you really should
get to know them. They’re rather interesting.
Before beginning this
daring undertaking, however, you should know that it won’t be easy. Many before
you have tried and failed to get a proper read on Missouri, a task proven
foolish to even attempt.
Don’t try to box
Missouri into normal categories. They haven’t done anything this season that
will blow you away, there are no “signature moments.”
In fact, Missouri has
spent the vast majority of this season flying under the radar, quietly
piling up enough wins to sneak past Georgia (to whom they lost 34-0) into the
conference title game.
Some would argue that
they have not been very impressive.
The Tigers rank 11th
in the SEC in scoring offense, 12th in total offense. They won nine
conference games by an average of eight points, and only topped 40 points once.
And don’t let that
42-13 win over Florida fool you, either. The Tigers recorded only one offensive
touchdown, scoring four times returning a kickoff, punt, fumble, and
interception. In the strangest win I’ve ever seen in my life, Missouri only
managed 119 total yards. Not exactly
championship material.
And yet, here they stand. 10-2, and headed to Atlanta.
In an oddly mediocre
year for the SEC East, Missouri used a stout defense, brilliant special teams
play, and just enough offense when they’ve needed it to prove wrong all the
doubters.
As of now, Missouri
has a 66 percent success rate on making the SEC championship.
Saturday, they’ll be
looking to prove that it was no fluke or mistake that they are squaring off
with top-ranked Alabama for SEC supremacy. They’ll certainly have their hands
full.
But before you write
the Tigers off, consider this: Missouri is still the only team in the SEC to be
undefeated on the road this season.
Not only that, they
actually play better football away from home. At home, they put up 24 points
per game. On the road, it’s 35 points. At home, their average point
differential is 4.3 points per game. On the road, it’s 14 points.
They put up more
total yards and give up less yards while on the road, and they have even posted
an astonishing plus-seven turnover margin in away games, as opposed only
plus-two at home.
Say what you will
about Gary Pinkel’s squad, but they travel very well.
Alabama? Not so much.
While Missouri
seemingly becomes a better team on the road, the Crimson Tide have been unexpectedly
average away from home.
They score 22 less
points and give up three more points per game (which is actually a big swing
for a Saban defense), and they only outgain their opponents by 50 yards per
game on the road, as opposed to an average margin of roughly 270 yards at home.
And where did Alabama’s
one loss come? On the road, against Ole Miss.
I’m not saying for
sure that Missouri will absolutely beat Alabama in the SEC championship. In
fact, I still think that due to Missouri’s offensive inconsistencies, the
Crimson Tide present a very tough matchup.
But if Missouri can
sustain its level of play on offense the past three games (587 yards against
Texas A&M, 410 yards against Tennessee, 423 yards against Arkansas), and
get pressure on Blake Sims with its dynamic pass rush, Missouri should at least
make this an interesting game.
The Tigers appear to
have hit their stride the past few games, they’ve already proven they can
compete with anyone in any environment, and can win so many unique ways. Just
ask Will Muschamp.
And don’t even think
about trying to put a label on Missouri: sloppy, offensively inept, underdog.
They live for shedding those labels.
It’ll take their best
game to down the Crimson Tide, but why not?
They’ve spent all
year surprising us.
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